Where the market is wrong on Nanjing City v Guangxi Hengchen
Nanjing City meet Guangxi Hengchen in the League One regular season - 21 at Wutaishan Stadium, Nanjing.
Guangxi Hengchen rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1604 to 1400. Recent form leans Guangxi Hengchen, 65% against 33%. Attacking output favors Guangxi Hengchen on expected goals, 1.9 to 0.8 per match.
Nanjing City arrive patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Guangxi Hengchen, L 1-3 @ Shenzhen Juniors, D 1-1 v Heilongjiang Lava Spring, D 1-1 v Nantong Zhiyun.
Guangxi Hengchen are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 10 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Nanjing City, D 3-3 v Suzhou Dongwu, W 1-0 v Meizhou Kejia, L 0-2 @ Guangzhou E-Power.
Guangxi Hengchen hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Nanjing City 0-2 Guangxi Hengchen.
The market prices NAN at 30% implied. Our number sits apart on Guangxi Hengchen: a 4.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 64 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
