Moreton City Excelsior v Peninsula Power: the model read
Moreton City Excelsior meet Peninsula Power in the Queensland NPL regular season - 19. The model makes Peninsula Power the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 33% MOR, 27% draw, 40% PEN.
The baseline ratings are close, 1604 to 1684, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Peninsula Power, 75% against 63%. Attacking output favors Moreton City Excelsior on expected goals, 2.5 to 2.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 84%, over 2.5 goals around 88%. Draw no bet leans Peninsula Power at 55%; double chance reads Moreton City Excelsior or draw 60%, Peninsula Power or draw 67%.
Moreton City Excelsior arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 10 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Peninsula Power, W 4-3 v Magic United, L 1-2 @ Gold Coast Knights, W 1-0 @ Gold Coast United.
Peninsula Power are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 9 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Moreton City Excelsior, L 1-2 @ APIA Leichhardt Tigers, D 0-0 v WDSC Wolves, W 3-1 @ Eastern Suburbs.
Moreton City Excelsior hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Moreton City Excelsior 2-2 Peninsula Power.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
