Where the market is wrong on Tulevik v Tallinna Kalev II
Tulevik meet Tallinna Kalev II in the Esiliiga B regular season - 32.
The baseline ratings are close, 1454 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 43% against 50%. Attacking output favors Tallinna Kalev II on expected goals, 2.4 to 2.1 per match.
Tulevik arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 17 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Tallinna Kalev II, W 6-1 v Tartu Kalev, W 5-3 @ Levadia U19, L 2-3 @ Luunja.
Tallinna Kalev II are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 11 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 @ Tulevik, L 1-2 v Narva U21, L 3-4 @ Johvi Phoenix, W 4-1 v JK Tabasalu.
The market prices TUL at 44% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 59 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
