Where the market is wrong on JK Tabasalu v Legion
JK Tabasalu meet Legion in the Esiliiga B regular season - 29.
The baseline ratings are close, 1431 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans JK Tabasalu, 38% against 16%. Attacking output favors JK Tabasalu on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.0 per match.
JK Tabasalu arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 5 scored and 17 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Legion, L 1-4 @ Tallinna Kalev II, W 3-2 v Luunja, L 0-4 @ Narva U21.
Legion are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts), 3 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ JK Tabasalu, L 1-2 v Tartu Kalev, L 0-3 @ Tulevik, L 1-5 v Parnu JK Vaprus U21.
Legion hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: JK Tabasalu 1-1 Legion.
The market prices JK at 59% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 7.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
