Where the market is wrong on LDU de Quito v Deportivo Cuenca
LDU de Quito meet Deportivo Cuenca in the Liga Pro regular season - 30 at Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito.
The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans LDU de Quito, 53% against 35%. Attacking output favors LDU de Quito on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.6 per match.
LDU de Quito arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 5 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Deportivo Cuenca, L 0-1 @ Palmeiras, W 3-1 @ Tecnico Universitario, D 0-0 v Mushuc Runa SC.
Deportivo Cuenca are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 3 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ LDU de Quito, L 0-1 v Libertad, W 1-0 v Guayaquil City FC, L 1-3 @ Tecnico Universitario.
The market prices LDU at 56% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 11.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output