Where the market is wrong on Marconi Stallions v NWS Spirit
Marconi Stallions meet NWS Spirit in the New South Wales NPL regular season - 30 at Marconi Stadium, Sydney.
The baseline ratings are close, 1615 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Marconi Stallions, 65% against 48%. Attacking output favors Marconi Stallions on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.3 per match.
Marconi Stallions arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 5 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v NWS Spirit, D 1-1 v NWS Spirit, W 1-0 @ Sydney Olympic, W 1-0 v Sutherland Sharks.
NWS Spirit are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts), 12 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 @ Marconi Stallions, D 1-1 @ Marconi Stallions, W 1-0 v SD Raiders, W 4-0 @ Manly United.
The market prices MAR at 59% implied. Our number sits apart on NWS Spirit: a 9.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output