Pacific FC v HFX Wanderers FC: the model read
Pacific FC meet HFX Wanderers FC in the Canadian Premier League group stage at Starlight Stadium, undefined.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans HFX Wanderers FC, 33% against 18%. Attacking output favors HFX Wanderers FC on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.2 per match.
Pacific FC arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 7 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 4-3 v HFX Wanderers FC, L 0-2 @ Forge, D 1-1 @ Vancouver FC, D 1-1 v York United.
HFX Wanderers FC are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 8 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 3-4 @ Pacific FC, W 1-0 v Vancouver FC, L 3-4 @ York United, L 1-2 @ Atlético Ottawa.
HFX Wanderers FC hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Pacific FC 4-3 HFX Wanderers FC.
The market prices PAC at 33% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 2.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output