Retrô v Maguary PE: the model read
Retrô meet Maguary PE in the Pernambucano - 1 quarter-finals at Arena Pernambuco, undefined. The model makes Maguary PE the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 32% RET, 32% draw, 36% MAG.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 48% against 45%. Attacking output favors Retrô on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 42%, over 2.5 goals around 36%. Draw no bet leans Maguary PE at 53%; double chance reads Retrô or draw 64%, Maguary PE or draw 68%.
Retrô arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 6 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Treze, D 0-0 @ Serra Branca, D 1-1 v Lagarto, W 2-1 v Decisão.
Maguary PE are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 5 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Iguatu, L 2-3 v Iguatu, L 0-1 @ Piauí, W 2-0 v Piauí.
Retrô hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 1 with 3 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Retrô 2-1 Maguary PE.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
