Where the market is wrong on FS Jelgava v Super Nova
FS Jelgava meet Super Nova in the Virsliga regular season - 29 at Zemgales Olimpiskais centrs, Jelgava.
The baseline ratings are close, 1454 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 43% against 45%. Attacking output favors FS Jelgava on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.0 per match.
FS Jelgava arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Super Nova, W 4-1 @ Tukums, W 3-2 @ Ogre United, L 0-1 v Auda.
Super Nova are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 3 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Tukums, W 1-0 @ FS Jelgava, D 1-1 @ Auda, D 0-0 v BFC Daugavpils.
FS Jelgava hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 1 with 5 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: FS Jelgava 0-1 Super Nova.
The market prices FS at 50% implied. Our number sits apart on Super Nova: a 9.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
