Union Magdalena v Envigado: the model read
Union Magdalena meet Envigado in the Primera B apertura - 3 at Estadio Sierra Nevada, Santa Marta. The model makes Union Magdalena the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 38% UNI, 31% draw, 32% ENV.
The baseline ratings are close, 1637 to 1615, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 68% against 65%. Attacking output favors Union Magdalena on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 52%, over 2.5 goals around 48%. Draw no bet leans Union Magdalena at 54%; double chance reads Union Magdalena or draw 68%, Envigado or draw 62%.
Union Magdalena arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 7 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Bogota FC, D 1-1 @ Barranquilla, W 3-0 v Real Cartagena, L 1-2 @ Real Cartagena.
Envigado are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 7 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Once Caldas, D 1-1 v Real Cartagena, W 3-2 @ Real Cartagena, W 1-0 v Quindio.
Union Magdalena hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 1 with 3 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Union Magdalena 4-2 Envigado.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
