Union San Felipe v Recoleta: the model read
Union San Felipe meet Recoleta in the Primera B regular season - 19 at Estadio Municipal de San Felipe, San Felipe. The model makes Recoleta the most likely outcome at 42%, with the full read 29% UNI, 30% draw, 42% REC.
The baseline ratings are close, 1432 to 1480, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 39% against 47%. Attacking output favors Recoleta on expected goals, 1.5 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 53%, over 2.5 goals around 54%. Draw no bet leans Recoleta at 59%; double chance reads Union San Felipe or draw 58%, Recoleta or draw 71%.
Union San Felipe arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 5 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Santiago Wanderers, D 1-1 v Union La Calera, L 0-2 @ Universidad de Chile, W 2-0 @ Union La Calera.
Recoleta are patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 5 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Union Espanola, D 2-2 @ Colo Colo, D 1-1 @ O'Higgins, L 0-3 v Colo Colo.
Recoleta hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 0 with 5 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Recoleta 2-0 Union San Felipe.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
