Where the market is wrong on Haninge v Smedby
Haninge meet Smedby in the Division 2 - Södra Svealand södra svealand - 23 at Torvalla idrottsplats, Haninge.
Haninge rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1627 to 1489. Recent form leans Haninge, 65% against 48%. Attacking output favors Haninge on expected goals, 2.6 to 1.5 per match.
Haninge arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 9 scored and 16 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Smedby, W 5-4 @ Eker Örebro, L 0-2 v Syrianska FC, L 1-7 v Djurgardens IF.
Smedby are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 5 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Haninge, L 0-1 v Fittja, L 0-3 @ Farsta, D 1-1 @ Nacka Iliria.
Haninge hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 1 across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Haninge 2-1 Smedby.
The market prices HAN at 60% implied. Our number sits apart on Smedby: a 12.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
