Where the market is wrong on Eker Örebro v Fittja
Eker Örebro meet Fittja in the Division 2 - Södra Svealand södra svealand - 18.
Fittja rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1569 to 1400. Recent form leans Fittja, 57% against 25%. Attacking output favors Fittja on expected goals, 1.9 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 64%, over 2.5 goals around 88%. Draw no bet leans Fittja at 73%; double chance reads Eker Örebro or draw 45%, Fittja or draw 79%.
Eker Örebro arrive out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 2 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Fittja, L 0-1 @ Smedby, L 0-4 v Nacka Iliria, L 1-4 @ Syrianska FC.
Fittja are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 8 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Eker Örebro, W 1-0 v Rågsved, W 3-2 @ Lindo FF, L 0-2 v Haninge.
Fittja hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Eker Örebro 0-2 Fittja.
The market prices EKE at 32% implied. Our number sits apart on Fittja: a 10.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 82 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
