Where the market is wrong on Motala v Stenungsund
Motala meet Stenungsund in the Division 2 - Norra Götaland norra götaland - 20.
The baseline ratings are close, 1443 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 43% against 48%. Attacking output favors Stenungsund on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.4 per match.
Motala arrive patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 7 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Stenungsund, L 2-3 @ IFK Skövde, D 2-2 v IF Karlstad II, D 1-1 @ Tord.
Stenungsund are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 10 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Motala, L 0-1 v Herrestads, D 1-1 @ Grebbestad, W 5-0 v Kumla.
Their last 4 meetings are tight — 4 drawn. Most recently they met in 2026: Motala 2-2 Stenungsund.
The market prices MOT at 40% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 59 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
