Busan I Park v Suwon Bluewings

Busan I Park meet Suwon Bluewings in the K League 2 regular season - 19 at Busan Gudeok Stadium, Busan. The model makes Busan I Park the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 38% BUS, 31% draw, 31% SUW.

The baseline ratings are close, 1638 to 1569, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Busan I Park, 68% against 57%. Attacking output favors Busan I Park on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.1 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 52%, over 2.5 goals around 49%. Draw no bet leans Busan I Park at 55%; double chance reads Busan I Park or draw 69%, Suwon Bluewings or draw 62%.

Busan I Park arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 11 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Seongnam FC, W 4-0 v Geoje Citizen, W 2-0 v Gimpo Citizen, D 3-3 @ Jeonnam Dragons.

Suwon Bluewings are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 5 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Paju Citizen, L 1-2 @ Busan Transportation, L 1-2 @ Ansan Greeners, W 1-0 v Seongnam FC.

The recent head-to-head is even, 3 apiece with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Suwon Bluewings 3-2 Busan I Park.

The market prices BUS at 28% implied. Our number sits apart on Busan I Park: a 9.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 76 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.