IA Akranes v FH hafnarfjordur: the model read
IA Akranes meet FH hafnarfjordur in the Úrvalsdeild regular season - 20.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans IA Akranes, 48% against 35%. Attacking output favors IA Akranes on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.2 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 72%, over 2.5 goals around 77%. Draw no bet leans IA Akranes at 59%; double chance reads IA Akranes or draw 70%, FH hafnarfjordur or draw 57%.
IA Akranes arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 13 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v FH hafnarfjordur, W 3-1 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar, W 2-0 v Thor Akureyri, D 2-2 v Vikingur Reykjavik.
FH hafnarfjordur are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ IA Akranes, L 2-4 v Vikingur Reykjavik, W 1-0 @ KA Akureyri, D 1-1 v KR Reykjavik.
FH hafnarfjordur hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: IA Akranes 1-1 FH hafnarfjordur.
The market prices IA at 48% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 2.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
