Where the market is wrong on Gareji v Sioni
Gareji meet Sioni in the Erovnuli Liga 2 regular season - 24 at Central stadium, undefined.
Gareji rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1638 to 1454. Recent form leans Gareji, 70% against 43%. Attacking output favors Gareji on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.2 per match.
Gareji arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 8 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 3-3 v Sioni, W 2-1 @ Merani Martvili, W 3-2 v Kolkheti Poti, L 0-2 v Aragvi Dusheti.
Sioni are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 7 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 3-3 @ Gareji, W 2-1 v Telavi, W 1-0 @ Odishi 1919, L 0-1 v Shturmi.
The recent head-to-head is even, 3 apiece with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Gareji 3-3 Sioni.
The market prices GAR at 38% implied. Our number sits apart on Gareji: a 3.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 61 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
