Alianza Valledupar v Deportivo Pasto: the model read
Alianza Valledupar meet Deportivo Pasto in the Primera A apertura - 15 at Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau, Valledupar. The model makes Deportivo Pasto the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 31% ALI, 32% draw, 37% DEP.
The baseline ratings are close, 1454 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 50%. Attacking output favors Deportivo Pasto on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 43%, over 2.5 goals around 37%. Draw no bet leans Deportivo Pasto at 55%; double chance reads Alianza Valledupar or draw 63%, Deportivo Pasto or draw 69%.
Alianza Valledupar arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 8 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Bucaramanga, L 0-1 @ Deportivo Cali, W 3-0 v Real Santander, D 1-1 @ Popayan.
Deportivo Pasto are out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 4 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Bogota FC, L 0-2 v Deportes Tolima, L 0-1 @ Deportes Tolima, L 3-4 @ Junior.
Alianza Valledupar hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 with 6 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Alianza Valledupar 0-0 Deportivo Pasto.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
