Where the market is wrong on Assyriska FF v Gefle IF
Assyriska FF meet Gefle IF in the Ettan - Norra norra - 18 at Sodertalje Fotbollsarena, undefined.
The baseline ratings are close, 1454 to 1480, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 43% against 45%. Attacking output favors Assyriska FF on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.2 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 69%, over 2.5 goals around 71%. Draw no bet leans Assyriska FF at 55%; double chance reads Assyriska FF or draw 68%, Gefle IF or draw 61%.
Assyriska FF arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 10 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Gefle IF, W 2-0 @ IF Karlstad, W 3-0 v Sollentuna, W 2-0 @ FBK Karlstad.
Gefle IF are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Assyriska FF, W 2-0 v Umeå FC, L 0-5 @ Stocksund, W 2-0 @ Piteå.
The market prices ASS at 47% implied. Our number sits apart on Gefle IF: a 4.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
