Where the market is wrong on IF Karlstad v Enköping
IF Karlstad meet Enköping in the Ettan - Norra norra - 15 at Sola Arena, Karlstad. The model makes IF Karlstad the most likely outcome at 42%, with the full read 42% IF , 29% draw, 28% ENK.
The baseline ratings are close, 1650 to 1613, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 69% against 63%. Attacking output favors IF Karlstad on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 57%, over 2.5 goals around 59%. Draw no bet leans IF Karlstad at 60%; double chance reads IF Karlstad or draw 72%, Enköping or draw 58%.
IF Karlstad arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 11 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 4-1 v Örebro Syrianska, L 0-1 @ Arlanda, D 2-2 @ Assyriska FF, W 2-0 v Gefle IF.
Enköping are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 8 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Stockholm Internazionale, W 3-1 v Umeå FC, W 2-0 @ Rågsved, D 1-1 v Vasalund.
IF Karlstad hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: IF Karlstad 2-0 Enköping.
The market prices IF at 59% implied. Our number sits apart on Enköping: a 9.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
