Nacional SP v Penapolense: the model read
Nacional SP meet Penapolense in the Paulista - A4 regular season - 10.
Penapolense rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1604 to 1400. Recent form leans Penapolense, 68% against 28%. Attacking output favors Penapolense on expected goals, 1.5 to 0.6 per match.
Nacional SP arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Inter de Bebedouro, L 0-1 @ Barretos, D 0-0 v ECUS, W 4-1 v Colorado Caieiras.
Penapolense are in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 9 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Inter de Bebedouro, W 2-1 v Inter de Bebedouro, D 2-2 @ São Caetano, W 2-1 v São Caetano.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece with 2 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Nacional SP 0-2 Penapolense.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
