Where the market is wrong on Deportivo Muñiz v General Lamadrid
Deportivo Muñiz meet General Lamadrid in the Primera C regular season - 25.
The baseline ratings are close, 1408 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans General Lamadrid, 50% against 38%. Attacking output favors General Lamadrid on expected goals, 0.8 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 19%, over 2.5 goals around 11%. Draw no bet leans General Lamadrid at 52%; double chance reads Deportivo Muñiz or draw 67%, General Lamadrid or draw 70%.
Deportivo Muñiz arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 3 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Leones de Rosario, L 0-2 v General Lamadrid, L 0-1 v Juventud Unida, D 1-1 v Atletico Atlas.
General Lamadrid are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 4 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Deportivo Muñiz, W 1-0 @ Victoriano Arenas, D 0-0 v Deportivo Español, L 1-3 @ Central Cordoba.
General Lamadrid hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Deportivo Muñiz 0-2 General Lamadrid.
The market prices DEP at 30% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 61 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output