San Martin S.J. v Nueva Chicago: the model read
San Martin S.J. meet Nueva Chicago in the Primera Nacional regular season - 17. The model makes the draw the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 33% SAN, 36% draw, 32% NUE.
The baseline ratings are close, 1483 to 1468, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 47% against 47%. Attacking output favors San Martin S.J. on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 22%, over 2.5 goals around 14%. Draw no bet leans San Martin S.J. at 51%; double chance reads San Martin S.J. or draw 68%, Nueva Chicago or draw 67%.
San Martin S.J. arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Club Atlético Güemes, L 0-1 v Chacarita Juniors, W 2-0 v Agropecuario, L 1-2 @ Gimnasia Jujuy.
Nueva Chicago are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 3 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Agropecuario, L 0-1 @ Tristan Suarez, W 2-0 v Club Atlético Güemes, D 0-0 v Atletico DE Rafaela.
San Martin S.J. hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 1 with 3 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2024: San Martin S.J. 1-0 Nueva Chicago.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
