Where the market is wrong on IFK Varnamo v Landskrona BoIS
IFK Varnamo meet Landskrona BoIS in the Superettan regular season - 20 at Finnvedsvallen, Varnamo.
Landskrona BoIS rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1604 to 1408. Recent form leans Landskrona BoIS, 65% against 35%. Attacking output favors Landskrona BoIS on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.2 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 46%, over 2.5 goals around 52%. Draw no bet leans Landskrona BoIS at 64%; double chance reads IFK Varnamo or draw 55%, Landskrona BoIS or draw 75%.
IFK Varnamo arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 10 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Landskrona BoIS, W 3-1 @ Växjö Norra, D 1-1 v Ostersunds FK, W 2-1 @ Helsingborg.
Landskrona BoIS are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 5 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ IFK Varnamo, W 1-0 @ Hässleholms IF, D 1-1 v Oddevold, W 1-0 @ Osters IF.
IFK Varnamo hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: IFK Varnamo 1-1 Landskrona BoIS.
The market prices IFK at 40% implied. Our number sits apart on Landskrona BoIS: a 12.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 84 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
