Where the market is wrong on Aalesund II v NTNUI
Aalesund II meet NTNUI in the 3. Division - Girone 2 regular season - 22.
The baseline ratings are close, 1420 to 1454, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 35% against 43%. Attacking output favors Aalesund II on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.6 per match.
Aalesund II arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 9 scored and 17 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v NTNUI, L 1-7 v Rosenborg II, D 2-2 @ Orkla, W 3-2 v Spjelkavik.
NTNUI are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 12 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 @ Aalesund II, L 2-5 v Nardo, W 2-0 @ Kvik Trondheim, D 4-4 v Molde II.
Aalesund II hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Aalesund II 1-3 NTNUI.
The market prices AAL at 49% implied. Our number sits apart on NTNUI: a 9.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 74 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
