Where the market is wrong on Ullern v Asker
Ullern meet Asker in the 3. Division - Girone 1 regular season - 18.
Asker rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1788 to 1400. Recent form leans Asker, 88% against 30%. Attacking output favors Asker on expected goals, 3.6 to 1.9 per match.
Ullern arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 13 scored and 16 conceded. Recent results: L 2-6 v Asker, W 3-2 @ Lokomotiv Oslo, W 4-1 v Union Carl Berner, L 2-5 v Gamle Oslo.
Asker are surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 26 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 6-2 @ Ullern, W 7-0 v Kvik Halden, W 5-2 @ Heming, W 5-4 v Vålerenga II.
The recent head-to-head is even, 4 apiece with 1 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Ullern 2-6 Asker.
The market prices ULL at 13% implied. Our number sits apart on Ullern: a 10.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
