Mjondalen v Notodden: the model read
Mjondalen meet Notodden in the 2. Division - Group 1 regular season - 14 at Consto Arena, undefined. The model makes Notodden the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 30% MJO, 29% draw, 41% NOT.
The baseline ratings are close, 1604 to 1601, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 63% against 63%. Attacking output favors Mjondalen on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 60%, over 2.5 goals around 62%. Draw no bet leans Notodden at 58%; double chance reads Mjondalen or draw 59%, Notodden or draw 70%.
Mjondalen arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 11 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 5-3 @ Brattvåg, W 1-0 v Bjarg, W 2-1 @ Notodden, D 3-3 v Kvik Halden.
Notodden are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Sotra, W 4-0 @ Sandviken, L 1-2 v Mjondalen, W 2-0 @ Lysekloster.
Mjondalen hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Notodden 1-2 Mjondalen.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
