Sparta Rotterdam v FC Volendam: the model read
Sparta Rotterdam meet FC Volendam in the KNVB Beker round of 16 at Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel, Rotterdam. The model makes FC Volendam the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 35% SPA, 29% draw, 36% FC .
The baseline ratings are close, 1454 to 1443, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 43% against 40%. Attacking output favors Sparta Rotterdam on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 68%, over 2.5 goals around 67%. Draw no bet leans FC Volendam at 51%; double chance reads Sparta Rotterdam or draw 64%, FC Volendam or draw 65%.
Sparta Rotterdam arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 11 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ Zulte Waregem, L 2-3 @ SV Meppen, W 1-0 v Telstar, W 4-0 @ VOC.
FC Volendam are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 11 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 @ Groningen, D 2-2 @ Waalwijk, L 1-2 @ Almere City FC, L 1-3 @ Jong AZ.
Sparta Rotterdam hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Sparta Rotterdam 2-0 FC Volendam.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
