Where the market is wrong on Internacional v Santos
Internacional meet Santos in the Serie A regular season - 26.
Santos rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1598 to 1454. Recent form leans Santos, 64% against 45%. Attacking output favors Santos on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.3 per match.
Internacional arrive patchy: 0W-4D-1L from their last five (4/15 pts), 3 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ Bahia, D 0-0 v Gremio, D 0-0 v Atletico-MG, D 1-1 v Remo.
Santos are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 5 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Corinthians, L 0-3 @ Palmeiras, D 1-1 v Mirassol, D 0-0 @ Macara.
Internacional hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 1 with 5 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Santos 1-2 Internacional.
The market prices INT at 47% implied. Our number sits apart on Santos: a 16.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 83 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
