Where the market is wrong on RB Bragantino v Bahia
RB Bragantino meet Bahia in the Serie A regular season - 26.
The baseline ratings are close, 1553 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 58% against 50%. Attacking output favors Bahia on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.4 per match.
RB Bragantino arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Sao Paulo, W 1-0 v Gremio, D 2-2 @ Atletico-MG, D 1-1 @ Atletico Paranaense.
Bahia are in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 v Internacional, W 2-0 @ Vitoria, D 3-3 @ Chapecoense-sc, D 0-0 v Vasco DA Gama.
Bahia hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Bahia 2-0 RB Bragantino.
The market prices RB at 47% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
