Chapecoense-sc v Sao Paulo: the model read
Chapecoense-sc meet Sao Paulo in the Serie A regular season - 24 at Arena Condá, Chapecó.
The baseline ratings are close, 1468 to 1432, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 42%. Attacking output favors Chapecoense-sc on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 45%, over 2.5 goals around 38%. Draw no bet leans Sao Paulo at 51%; double chance reads Chapecoense-sc or draw 65%, Sao Paulo or draw 66%.
Chapecoense-sc arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 5 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Sao Paulo, D 3-3 v Bahia, L 1-2 @ Coritiba, L 0-2 @ Cruzeiro.
Sao Paulo are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Chapecoense-sc, W 3-1 v Bolívar, D 1-1 v Coritiba, D 1-1 @ Bolívar.
Sao Paulo hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Chapecoense-sc 1-0 Sao Paulo.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
