Where the market is wrong on DC United v Columbus Crew
DC United meet Columbus Crew in the Major League Soccer regular season - 24 at Audi Field, Washington.
The baseline ratings are close, 1432 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 45%. Attacking output favors Columbus Crew on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.4 per match.
DC United arrive patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 4 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Los Angeles FC, L 1-3 @ Charlotte, L 0-3 v New England Revolution, D 1-1 @ CF Montreal.
Columbus Crew are out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 5 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v New England Revolution, L 0-2 @ Club America, L 2-3 @ Nashville SC, L 1-2 v CF Montreal.
Columbus Crew hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 1 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Columbus Crew 2-1 DC United.
The market prices DC at 39% implied. Our number sits apart on Columbus Crew: a 3.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 60 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
