Where the market is wrong on Los Angeles Galaxy v New England Revolution
Los Angeles Galaxy meet New England Revolution in the Major League Soccer regular season - 23 at Dignity Health Sports Park, Los Angeles.
The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1560, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans New England Revolution, 58% against 45%. Attacking output favors New England Revolution on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.1 per match.
Los Angeles Galaxy arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 4 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ San Diego, D 2-2 @ CF Montreal, W 1-0 v San Jose Earthquakes, L 0-1 @ Houston Dynamo.
New England Revolution are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 @ Columbus Crew, D 1-1 v New York City FC, W 3-0 @ DC United, L 1-2 @ Toronto FC.
Los Angeles Galaxy hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 4 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2022: New England Revolution 1-2 Los Angeles Galaxy.
The market prices LOS at 41% implied. Our number sits apart on New England Revolution: a 8.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 74 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
