Where the market is wrong on Houston Dynamo v San Jose Earthquakes
Houston Dynamo meet San Jose Earthquakes in the Major League Soccer regular season - 22 at Shell Energy Stadium, Houston.
Houston Dynamo rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1684 to 1477. Recent form leans Houston Dynamo, 75% against 45%. Attacking output favors San Jose Earthquakes on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.4 per match.
Houston Dynamo arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 5 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v San Jose Earthquakes, L 1-2 @ St. Louis City, W 1-0 @ Vancouver Whitecaps, W 1-0 v Los Angeles Galaxy.
San Jose Earthquakes are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts), 4 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Houston Dynamo, L 1-5 v Minnesota United FC, L 0-1 @ Los Angeles Galaxy, L 1-3 v St. Louis City.
Houston Dynamo hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Houston Dynamo 0-0 San Jose Earthquakes.
The market prices HOU at 59% implied. Our number sits apart on San Jose Earthquakes: a 6.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
