New York City FC v Toronto FC: the model read
New York City FC meet Toronto FC in the Major League Soccer regular season - 18 at Yankee Stadium, Bronx.
The baseline ratings are close, 1454 to 1443, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 43% against 45%. Attacking output favors Toronto FC on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.4 per match.
New York City FC arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 6 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Toronto FC, D 1-1 @ New England Revolution, L 1-2 @ FC Cincinnati, L 2-3 v Philadelphia Union.
Toronto FC are in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 9 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v New York City FC, W 2-1 @ Inter Miami, D 3-3 v Charlotte, W 2-1 v New England Revolution.
New York City FC hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Toronto FC 1-1 New York City FC.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
