New York City FC v Chicago Fire: the model read
New York City FC meet Chicago Fire in the Major League Soccer regular season - 19 at Yankee Stadium, undefined. The model makes Chicago Fire the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 35% NEW, 29% draw, 37% CHI.
The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 55%. Attacking output favors Chicago Fire on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 72%, over 2.5 goals around 73%. Draw no bet leans Chicago Fire at 52%; double chance reads New York City FC or draw 63%, Chicago Fire or draw 65%.
New York City FC arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 5 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Columbus Crew, L 1-2 @ Nashville SC, L 0-1 @ Columbus Crew, D 1-1 @ New York Red Bulls.
Chicago Fire are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 10 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ Inter Miami, W 2-1 v Toronto FC, W 2-0 @ CF Montreal, W 3-1 @ DC United.
New York City FC hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 1 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Chicago Fire 1-3 New York City FC.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
