Potenza v Crotone: the model read
Potenza meet Crotone in the Coppa Italia Serie C quarter-finals at Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani, Potenza. The model makes Crotone the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 32% POT, 30% draw, 38% CRO.
The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1592, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Crotone, 63% against 53%. Attacking output favors Crotone on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 61%, over 2.5 goals around 59%. Draw no bet leans Crotone at 54%; double chance reads Potenza or draw 62%, Crotone or draw 68%.
Potenza arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 v Juve Stabia, L 0-1 @ Ascoli, D 0-0 v Ascoli, W 3-1 v Campobasso FC.
Crotone are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 8 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Casertana, D 1-1 v Audace Cerignola, L 2-5 v Latina, W 2-1 @ Casarano.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
