Juventud v Progreso: the model read
Juventud meet Progreso in the Primera División - Clausura clausura - 15 at Parque Artigas, Las Piedras. The model makes Juventud the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 41% JUV, 31% draw, 28% PRO.
The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Juventud, 48% against 30%. Attacking output favors Juventud on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 43%, over 2.5 goals around 41%. Draw no bet leans Juventud at 59%; double chance reads Juventud or draw 72%, Progreso or draw 59%.
Juventud arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 6 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Albion FC, L 1-3 v Atletico Torque, D 1-1 @ Danubio, L 1-2 @ Club Nacional.
Progreso are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 5 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Deportivo Maldonado, L 0-2 @ Wanderers, L 1-2 v Albion FC, W 2-1 @ Danubio.
Juventud hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Juventud 2-0 Progreso.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
