Machida Zelvia v FC Tokyo: the model read
Machida Zelvia meet FC Tokyo in the Emperor Cup semi-finals at Machida GION Stadium, Machida. The model makes FC Tokyo the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 32% MAC, 33% draw, 35% FC .
The baseline ratings are close, 1615 to 1604, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 68% against 65%. Attacking output favors FC Tokyo on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 39%, over 2.5 goals around 31%. Draw no bet leans FC Tokyo at 52%; double chance reads Machida Zelvia or draw 65%, FC Tokyo or draw 68%.
Machida Zelvia arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Fujieda MYFC, W 2-1 v Nagoya Grampus, D 2-2 @ Nagoya Grampus, W 1-0 v Urawa.
FC Tokyo are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 5 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Nagoya Grampus, L 1-3 v Cerezo Osaka, D 2-2 @ Cerezo Osaka, L 0-1 @ Kashima.
Machida Zelvia hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: FC Tokyo 0-0 Machida Zelvia.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
