Cimarrones v Durango: the model read
Cimarrones meet Durango in the Liga Premier Serie A apertura - 25 at Estadio Héroe de Nacozari, Hermosillo. The model makes Durango the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 29% CIM, 31% draw, 40% DUR.
The baseline ratings are close, 1592 to 1696, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Durango, 78% against 65%. Attacking output favors Cimarrones on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 42%, over 2.5 goals around 39%. Draw no bet leans Durango at 58%; double chance reads Cimarrones or draw 60%, Durango or draw 71%.
Cimarrones arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 9 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Celaya, L 1-2 @ Celaya, D 1-1 v Mineros de Fresnillo, D 1-1 @ Mineros de Fresnillo.
Durango are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 4 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Tepatitlán, D 0-0 v Deportiva Venados, L 1-2 @ Deportiva Venados, W 2-1 v Deportivo Zap.
Cimarrones hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 with 4 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Cimarrones 0-0 Durango.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
