Colima v Guerreros: the model read
Colima meet Guerreros in the Liga Premier Serie A apertura - 12 at Estadio Olímpico Universitario de Colima, Colima. The model makes Guerreros the most likely outcome at 45%, with the full read 27% COL, 28% draw, 45% GUE.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Guerreros, 45% against 23%. Attacking output favors Guerreros on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.0 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 59%, over 2.5 goals around 67%. Draw no bet leans Guerreros at 63%; double chance reads Colima or draw 55%, Guerreros or draw 73%.
Colima arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 4 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 v Tecos, W 3-1 @ Acatlan, L 0-2 @ Guerreros, D 0-0 v Mineros de Fresnillo.
Guerreros are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Reboceros La Piedad, L 0-1 v Tritons Vallarta, W 2-0 v Colima, L 1-2 @ Leones Negros.
Guerreros hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Guerreros 2-0 Colima.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output