PRO Vercelli took maximum points from a 3-2 victory at Triestina in Serie C Girone A, a result that the Lemeister model had rated as a close call with the visitors holding a 37 per cent win probability against the hosts' 33 per cent. The final scoreline was shaped by an extraordinary sequence of events in both penalty areas, with two own goals inside the opening 65 minutes setting a tone that PRO Vercelli ultimately turned to their advantage through superior efficiency in front of goal.
The visitors struck first in the 21st minute when J. Vicario put into his own net, giving PRO Vercelli a lead they had not necessarily created through sustained pressure. Triestina's response was hampered by a yellow card for M. Tonetto two minutes before the goal, but they held firm until the 32nd minute, when D. Huiberts scored a normal goal to double the advantage. At this stage the scoreboard read 2-0 to the away side, built more on clinical finishing than territorial dominance, though the absence of detailed shot and possession data leaves the precise balance of play unclear.
Triestina were handed a lifeline in the 65th minute when M. Del Favero of PRO Vercelli put into his own goal, halving the deficit and setting up a potentially tense final quarter. However, any momentum the hosts gained was swiftly extinguished when G. Comi scored a normal goal in the 76th minute to restore PRO Vercelli's two-goal cushion. Triestina kept fighting, and I. Voca scored a normal goal in the 90th minute to make it 3-2, but the comeback proved too late to salvage a point.
The match was a fractious affair, with seven yellow cards issued across both sides. Triestina collected four bookings through M. Tonetto, L. Pedicillo, T. Silvestri and M. Jamaal, while PRO Vercelli saw M. Del Favero, G. Comi and A. Burruano go into the book. The volume of cautions suggests a contest that frequently boiled over, particularly in the second half as the visitors attempted to protect their lead and the hosts pressed for an equaliser.
Without detailed statistical records, the narrative is heavily reliant on the goal timeline and card count. PRO Vercelli capitalised on two separate periods of control across the first and second halves, while Triestina's fightback in stoppage time will feel like an opportunity missed given they conceded three times, two of them self-inflicted. The own goals from J. Vicario and M. Del Favero were decisive in shifting the balance of the contest, and Triestina will be left to rue those moments of misfortune.
The result gives PRO Vercelli a valuable away win in the context of a competitive mid-table group, while Triestina remain in the lower half of the standings. The Lemeister model had projected a narrow away win by a single goal, which is exactly how it played out, albeit through an unusually high number of own goals and late drama. Triestina must now regroup quickly if they are to avoid being dragged deeper into the relegation picture. With five wins now from their last eight league outings, PRO Vercelli are building momentum, while Triestina have lost three of their last five and are looking over their shoulder at the drop zone. The fixture list offers no respite for the hosts, who face a trip to a promotion contender next weekend.
