Irapuato v Correcaminos Uat: the model read
Irapuato meet Correcaminos Uat in the Liga de Expansión MX apertura - 10 at Estadio Sergio León Chávez, Irapuato. The model makes Irapuato the most likely outcome at 47%, with the full read 47% IRA, 28% draw, 25% COR.
The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Irapuato, 48% against 30%. Attacking output favors Irapuato on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 60%, over 2.5 goals around 70%. Draw no bet leans Irapuato at 65%; double chance reads Irapuato or draw 75%, Correcaminos Uat or draw 53%.
Irapuato arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 7 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Mineros de Zacatecas, W 2-1 @ Tapatío, W 3-1 v CA La Paz, L 0-2 @ Monarcas.
Correcaminos Uat are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 8 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: D 3-3 @ Mineros de Zacatecas, D 0-0 v Guadalajara Chivas, L 3-6 v Necaxa, L 1-3 v Alebrijes de Oaxaca.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Correcaminos Uat 2-1 Irapuato.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
