O Elvas v Moncarapachense: the model read
O Elvas meet Moncarapachense in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D group d - 26 at Campo Domingos Carrilho Patalino, Elvas. The model makes O Elvas the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 37% O E, 35% draw, 29% MON.
The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1431, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans O Elvas, 50% against 40%. Attacking output favors O Elvas on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 26%, over 2.5 goals around 19%. Draw no bet leans O Elvas at 56%; double chance reads O Elvas or draw 71%, Moncarapachense or draw 63%.
O Elvas arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 3 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Moncarapachense, D 0-0 @ Comércio Indústria, W 3-2 v FC Serpa, L 0-2 @ Alcochetense.
Moncarapachense are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 5 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ O Elvas, L 0-1 v Juventude Évora, L 0-1 @ Louletano, W 2-0 v Sintrense.
Moncarapachense hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: O Elvas 0-0 Moncarapachense.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
