Oriental Lisboa v FC Serpa: the model read
Oriental Lisboa meet FC Serpa in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D group d - 26 at Campo Engenheiro Carlos Salema, Lisboa. The model makes Oriental Lisboa the most likely outcome at 34%, with the full read 34% ORI, 32% draw, 33% FC .
The baseline ratings are close, 1431 to 1454, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 43% against 43%. Attacking output favors Oriental Lisboa on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 43%, over 2.5 goals around 36%. Draw no bet leans Oriental Lisboa at 51%; double chance reads Oriental Lisboa or draw 67%, FC Serpa or draw 66%.
Oriental Lisboa arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 4 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v FC Serpa, D 1-1 @ Alcochetense, L 0-2 v Lagoa, L 1-2 v FC Alverca II.
FC Serpa are out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 4 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Oriental Lisboa, L 0-1 v FC Alverca II, L 2-3 @ O Elvas, L 0-3 v Juventude Évora.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
