Polessya defeated Ruh Lviv 2-0 at the Tsentralnyi Stadion, a result that aligned closely with the Lemeister model's pre-match forecast, which had given the hosts a 62 per cent win probability and projected a 3-0 scoreline. The final margin was slightly narrower than expected, but the underlying numbers confirmed a controlled, professional home performance in which Polessya's efficiency in front of goal proved decisive against a Ruh Lviv side that rarely threatened.
O. Filippov opened the scoring in the 27th minute, converting from O. Andriyevski's assist for a Normal Goal. The strike rewarded a period of sustained pressure from Polessya, who had begun to assert control through possession and territory in the opening half-hour. Filippov's involvement was emblematic of his overall influence, though he received a yellow card just a minute later, in the 28th minute, for a tactical foul that briefly checked Ruh Lviv's momentum. The goal gave Polessya a platform from which they could manage the contest, dictating the tempo without needing to overcommit in attack.
The second goal arrived in the 82nd minute, when E. Sarapiy finished clinically after an assist from G. Maisuradze. This strike effectively sealed the contest, arriving at a point when Ruh Lviv were pushing for an equaliser and leaving themselves exposed at the back. The timing was perfect for Polessya, allowing them to close out the match with minimal fuss. Sarapiy's impact was notable given his late introduction, as he registered a match rating of 8.3, the highest among all players. His ability to convert a key chance underscored the depth of Polessya's attacking options, with substitutes contributing directly to the final margin.
Statistically, the contest was defined by Polessya's superiority in the areas that matter most. The Lemeister model's projection of a comfortable home win was borne out by a performance that controlled the tempo and capitalised on key moments. While the data does not include detailed possession or shot totals, Polessya's 62 per cent win probability in the model reflected their status as clear favourites. Filippov, with a match rating of 7.6, combined his goal with a high work rate across the pitch, while Andriyevski's assist earned him a rating of 7.4 and Maisuradze's creative pass saw him rated at 7.5. These individual contributions formed the backbone of a cohesive team display.
Defensively, Polessya's goalkeeper and backline were largely untroubled. Ruh Lviv mustered little in attack, failing to register a shot on target that would test the home goalkeeper. Their discipline also faltered, with Andriy Kitela booked in the 61st minute and Vlad Raileanu cautioned in the 81st minute. These cards came during a period when Ruh Lviv were chasing the game, but they could not translate urgency into quality chances. Raileanu's yellow card, arriving just one minute before Sarapiy's goal, epitomised a frustration that never found a creative outlet. The away side's inability to create meaningful opportunities left them with no route back into the contest.
For Ruh Lviv, the defeat continues a pattern of inconsistency in attack, as they failed to build on promising build-up play with decisive finishing. Their discipline issues, with two yellow cards in the second half, reflected a side that lost composure as the match slipped away. Polessya, meanwhile, capitalised on home advantage to secure a crucial victory. The result solidifies their position in the Premier League table, moving them within touch of the top six as the regular season approaches its conclusion. With five substitutions used by each side, both teams rotated heavily, but it was Polessya's depth that made the decisive difference, as Sarapiy's late goal demonstrated. The Lemeister model had anticipated this outcome, and the final scoreline confirmed the hosts' superiority in a match they controlled from start to finish.
