VfB Stuttgart v Bayer Leverkusen: the model read
VfB Stuttgart meet Bayer Leverkusen in the Bundesliga regular season - 33 at MHPArena, Stuttgart. The model makes Bayer Leverkusen the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 36% VFB, 28% draw, 36% BAY.
The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 57% against 57%. Attacking output favors VfB Stuttgart on expected goals, 2.4 to 1.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 80%, over 2.5 goals around 83%. Draw no bet leans Bayer Leverkusen at 50%; double chance reads VfB Stuttgart or draw 64%, Bayer Leverkusen or draw 64%.
VfB Stuttgart arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 15 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 7-0 @ Balingen, L 0-3 @ Bayern München, D 2-2 @ Eintracht Frankfurt, W 3-1 v Bayer Leverkusen.
Bayer Leverkusen are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 15 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 7-0 @ SF Baumberg, D 1-1 v Hamburger SV, L 1-3 @ VfB Stuttgart, W 4-1 v RB Leipzig.
Bayer Leverkusen hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 5 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: VfB Stuttgart 3-1 Bayer Leverkusen.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
