Desportiva ES v Porto Vitória: the model read
Desportiva ES meet Porto Vitória in the Copa Espírito Santo 1st phase - 9 at Estádio Engenheiro Alencar Araripe, Cariacica, Espírito Santo. The model makes Porto Vitória the most likely outcome at 39%, with the full read 29% DES, 31% draw, 39% POR.
Porto Vitória rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1569 to 1443. Recent form leans Porto Vitória, 57% against 43%. Attacking output favors Porto Vitória on expected goals, 1.7 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 45%, over 2.5 goals around 42%. Draw no bet leans Porto Vitória at 57%; double chance reads Desportiva ES or draw 61%, Porto Vitória or draw 71%.
Desportiva ES arrive steady: 1W-4D-0L from their last five (7/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 4 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Sport Recife, D 1-1 @ Vilavelhense, D 1-1 v Vilavelhense, D 1-1 @ Sampaio Corrêa RJ.
Porto Vitória are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 10 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 3-3 v Rio Branco-VN, L 0-1 @ Rio Branco-VN, W 3-0 v Sport Brasil ES, D 1-1 @ Serra Talhada.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
