Greece v Scotland: the model read
Greece meet Scotland in the World Cup - Qualification Europe group stage - 9 at Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium, Piraeus.
The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1592, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 57% against 60%. Attacking output favors Greece on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.6 per match.
Greece arrive patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 2 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Italy, D 2-2 @ Sweden, D 0-0 @ Hungary, L 0-1 v Paraguay.
Scotland are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 9 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v Brazil, L 0-1 v Morocco, W 1-0 @ Haiti, W 4-0 @ Bolivia.
The recent head-to-head is even, 2 apiece across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Greece 3-2 Scotland.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
