Vannes v Lorient II: the model read
Vannes meet Lorient II in the National 3 - Group C group c - 17 at Stade le Perenno, Theix. The model makes Lorient II the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 34% VAN, 31% draw, 35% LOR.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1408, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 35% against 35%. Attacking output favors Lorient II on expected goals, 1.2 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 54%, over 2.5 goals around 50%. Draw no bet leans Lorient II at 51%; double chance reads Vannes or draw 65%, Lorient II or draw 66%.
Vannes arrive patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 5 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ Pontivy GSI, D 1-1 v Saint-Pierre Milizac, L 1-4 @ Cesson, D 1-1 @ Lannion.
Lorient II are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 8 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Poitiers, L 2-3 @ Angoulême, W 3-0 v Saint-Malo, D 2-2 @ Saumur.
Lorient II hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 2 across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Vannes 0-1 Lorient II.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
